@article {Koch2008345,
	title = {Effort modeling and programmer participation in open source software projects},
	journal = {Information Economics and Policy (Empirical Issues in Open Source Software)},
	volume = {20},
	number = {4},
	year = {2008},
	note = {"Using a two-step approach, first a detailed case study on one project, GNOME, will be undertaken, then a large data set retrieved from a project hosting site, SourceForge.net, will be used to validate the results."

CVS was the main source of data

"e-mails sent to the different project discussion lists were identified as an additional source of information especially on communication and coordination besides the CVS-repository"

basic counts were calculated for developer discussion levels},
	month = {12/2008},
	pages = {345 - 355},
	abstract = {This paper develops models for programmer participation and effort estimation in open source software projects and employs the results to assess the efficiency of open source software creation. Successful development of such models will be important for decision makers of various kinds. We propose hypotheses based on a prior case study on manpower function and effort modeling. A large data set retrieved from a project repository is used to test these hypotheses. The main results are that if Norden-Rayleigh-based approaches are used, they need to be complemented in order to account for the addition of new features during a product life cycle, and that programmer-participation based effort models result in distinctly lower estimations of effort than those based on output metrics, such as lines of code.},
	keywords = {cvs, developers, email, email archives, gnome, lines of code, scm, Software repository mining, source code, sourceforge},
	issn = {0167-6245},
	doi = {DOI: 10.1016/j.infoecopol.2008.06.004},
	url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6V8J-4SSND1J-1/2/c857fa1493e19aa7fe4297dedb077b3a},
	attachments = {https://flosshub.org/sites/flosshub.org/files/KochEffortModeling.pdf},
	author = {Koch, Stefan}
}
@article {1077,
	title = {Profiling an Open Source Project Ecology and Its Programmers},
	journal = {Electronic Markets},
	volume = {14},
	year = {2004},
	month = {6/2004},
	pages = {77 - 88},
	abstract = {While many successful and well-known open source projects produce output of high quality, a general assessment of this development paradigm is still missing. In this paper, an online community of both small and large, successful and failed projects and their programmers is analysed mainly using the version-control data of each project, also according to their productivity and estimation of expended effort. As the results show, there are indeed significant differences between this cooperative development model and the commercial organization of work in the areas explored. Both open source software projects in their size and their programmers{\textquoteright} effort differ significantly, and the evolution of projects{\textquoteright} size over time seems in part to contradict the laws of software evolution proposed for commercial systems. Both the inequality of effort distribution between programmers and an increasing number of developers in a project do not lead to a decrease in productivity, opposing Brooks{\textquoteright}s Law. Effort estimation based on the COCOMO model for commercial organizations shows a large amount of effort expended for the projects, while a more general Norden-Rayleigh modeling shows a distinctly smaller expenditure. This proposes that either a highly efficient development is achieved by this self-organizing cooperative and highly decentralized form of work, or that the participation of users besides programming tasks is enormous and constitutes an economic factor of large proportions. },
	keywords = {affiliation network, brooks law, cocomo, effort estimation, evolution, productivity, project success, scm, size, time, version control},
	issn = {1422-8890},
	doi = {10.1080/10196780410001675031},
	author = {Koch, Stefan}
}
