@book {1532, title = {How Healthy Is My Project? Open Source Project Attributes as Indicators of Success}, series = {IFIP Advances in Information and Communication Technology Open Source Software: Quality Verification}, volume = {404}, year = {2013}, note = {"The dataset used has thus been obtained through a third source which has made the data publicly available [18]. FlossMole.org contains data collected for the period 2006 to December 2009 from which a dataset was compiled of 125,700 projects. "}, pages = {30 - 44}, publisher = {Springer Berlin Heidelberg}, organization = {Springer Berlin Heidelberg}, address = {Berlin, Heidelberg}, abstract = {Determining what factors can influence the successful outcome of a software project has been labeled by many scholars and software engineers as a difficult problem. In this paper we use machine learning to create a model that can determine the stage a software project has obtained with some accuracy. Our model uses 8 Open Source project metrics to determine the stage a project is in. We validate our model using two performance measures; the exact success rate of classifying an Open Source Software project and the success rate over an interval of one stage of its actual performance using different scales of our dependent variable. In all cases we obtain an accuracy of above 70\% with one away classification (a classification which is away by one) and about 40\% accuracy with an exact classification. We also determine the factors (according to one classifier) that uses only eight variables among all the variables available in SourceForge, that determine the health of an OSS project. }, keywords = {flossmole, sourceforge}, isbn = {978-3-642-38928-3}, issn = {1868-422X}, doi = {10.1007/978-3-642-38928-3_3}, url = {http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-642-38928-3_3}, attachments = {https://flosshub.org/sites/flosshub.org/files/OSSHealth_1.0.pdf}, author = {Piggot, James and Amrit, Chintan}, editor = {Petrinja, Etiel and Succi, Giancarlo and Ioini, Nabil and Sillitti, Alberto} }